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Especially in recent years, it seems like the news is always full of stories about the economy and the indicators that help evaluate it. Although it may seem these news stories are intended to do little more than cause anxiety (or boredom), in fact, these indicators can give consumers a fairly good idea of whether interest rates are going to rise or fall – and that can be very valuable information to anyone interested in buying or refinancing a home.
If you’re trying to determine if now is the best time to lock in a rate, you might want to take a look at the following three indicators to get an idea of how interest rates are likely to move. These 3 things are solid predictors for when interest rates go up or down:
The GDP, CPI and payroll indicators are coincident indicators, meaning they respond quickly to shifts in the economy. This is in contrast to the unemployment rate which lags behind the economy; shifts in unemployment do not have an immediate impact on the economy and their effect on inflation is delayed.
Next time the news shifts to the economy, don’t let your eyes glaze over or your mind wander: Keeping an eye on these rates and understanding what they mean can help you decide whether to lock in a rate now or whether to hold tight, which can end up saving you lots of money in the long run.